The Fall of the Playstation Generation

[nmaster64]

Initial Winner (by sales after first 2-3 years): Xbox 360
Eventual Winner (by sales at end of gen): PS3
Profit Winner: Revolution

The PS3 will eventually outsell the other two consoles I think, although by a much smaller margin than in this gen. The sales will be generated simply by hype and misinformation. People will buy it just because it's "Playstation", without taking ten seconds to do some research. Why? Because people are idiots...

Regardless of how many idiots blindly flock to their trojan horse of a grill, Sony is going to be the big loser next round. Because it's so impossibly hard to develop on the Cell, there won't be enough games to make up the ENORMOUS loss Sony is going to take on selling the PS3 (between $100-$300 per console). While fanboys may bicker over sales figures and market penetration, in the end these companies are businesses and profit is what matters. Nintendo won that war this time around, and their about to do it again: on an even larger scale.

In the end, the entire war is going to boil down to which system do developers turn to. I think the answer is there will be good mix between the Revolution and 360 (although the Rev gets the N-franchises, so it's a bit better off), and the PS3 will only get a few big-name titles. How many systems those 2 or 3 big titles will move I can't guess, although I'm sure there's a few thousand idiots at least who'll buy a PS3 just for Metal Gear Solid 4 (Stealth Old People Action!). Still, I don't think that'll be enough to save Sony in the long run...

The Revolution is going to win on two fronts: fun and profit
The Xbox 360 won't win anything, but will be profitable.
The PS3 will win in sales but lose in EVERYTHING else.

This is certainly, if nothing else, the beginning of the fall of the PS generation...

[kratos]

i totally agree with you

[-Rashon-]

I kinda agree but not all the way

[alex]

i agree and its said that sony will only make a profit on the console when they make the small ps3 eventualy

[nmaster64]

Originally Posted by alex

i agree and its said that sony will only make a profit on the console when they make the small ps3 eventualy

That may not be possible, and if it is, probably not for almost 6 to 8 years. This is mainly due to the Blue-Ray drive...

I don't think Sony's gonna earn a dime on the PS3...actually I expect them to lose a few million dimes...

[alex]

yea i they are getting ready to lose tones but over the years the production will get cheaper as the parts they use get cheaper etc...

but i still think that there are unlickly to ever make a profit on the console

[nmaster64]

Originally Posted by alex

yea i they are getting ready to lose tones but over the years the production will get cheaper as the parts they use get cheaper etc...

but i still think that there are unlickly to ever make a profit on the console

actually, that's the big problem with the PS3...

...the types of technologies it's using aren't predicted to decrease in price any time soon, most noteably the Blu-Ray. In other words, PS3 manufacturing may not come down in cost until after Nintendo and Microsoft's next-next-gen systems launch...

The PS3 will initially be sold at a $100-$150 loss. This won't decrease for at least two years. If bad sales figures force Sony to drop the price, they may have to eat up to $200 for the first 5 years. With the release of the Nintendo Evolution and Xbox 9762, Sony will HAVE to drop the price, but this should be right around the time manufacturing starts to come down on their technologies, assuming of course Blu-Ray IS adopted as the new DVD standard (if it isn't, their just plain screwed). So, if Sony's lucky, they may level off after about 8 years. I don't think they'll be able to make up what they lost in those years with the remainder of console sales, nor game sales, especially considering there will be less titles for the PS3 due to difficulty in programming on the Cell.

Sony has royally screwed themselves in my opinion.